Our headline on the Thursday Starlink outage used the word “Attacked?” Turns out the old “news nose” still twitches reliably.
Starlink back online overnight: Ukrainian troops were without communication for over 2 hours.
Coincidence? Above our pay grade, but Elon did the right thing with a “sorry about that”. While inconvenient, Starlink is well under one percent of IP traffic globally, as we pencil it:
Still, since it is deployed in rural and remote (and just works so damn well) it is significant to us. And a reminder that system redundancies do matter in a digital world. Things only work until they don’t and everything’s a business model.
Econ at Dawn: Gee: Dee Pee
Durable Goods are one of the few – fresh – data points to consider as the week wraps up.
New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in June, down two of the last three months, decreased $32.1 billion or 9.3 percent to $311.8 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This followed a 16.5 percent May increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 9.4 percent. Transportation equipment, also down two of the last three months, drove the decrease, $32.6 billion or 22.4 percent to $113.0 billion.
Shipments
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in June, up seven consecutive months, increased $1.4 billion or 0.5 percent to $302.5 billion.
After the data, futures firmed but just a bit…
The problem with Durables is the economic foundation has a few cracks in it.
- Several wars are on knife edge waiting to light up.
- The Fed is not likely to do anything next week – and even the odds of a rate drop this fall may be headed for the carving board.
- A lot will depend on what Mr. Tariffs, the Randomizer in Chief decides todiddle with between now and over the weekend, ahead of the Fed…
Developer School?
Somehow, we were not surprised that the Developer-in-Chief may have been offering Jerome Powell a few pointers on managing big build outs of commercial office space as Trump and Powell bicker over Fed building renovations as president ratchets up pressure campaign. Apparently Powell isn’t a particularly attentive student: Trump slams Federal Reserve renovation cost during tour with Powell – we would mention The Donald has a little more property experience than the Fed Boss (at least so far as we know…but then there’s the “Did the President hear him?” discussion, too…)
Based on the early (before data) look, we could see an early decline next week, but no real surprises as the Fed non-action is the consensus near as we can figure it.
Summer Smokes
The annual “Gee, summer is sure hot…” stories are about ready to pop.
Except,; notes our Houston Bureau, there is likely to be some Gulf moisture come ashore this weekend.
Sadly – we will only be getting clouds, says the forecast. Gotta tell you, I have mixed feelings about that. Good news: I don’t feel obsessive about mowing because the grass is going dormant in the heat. Bad news? It’s getting brown, so any minute the summer burn ban will be along.
Rest of the country is hotting up, and drying out, too:
Which means idiots and lightning are lighting up the wildland fire scene – notice the correlation between the drought monitor dark spots (darker=drier) and the fires that are on the hot list?
No snow in the forecast though – remember six months back how people were bitching about that? Nothing is perfect…
News Coaster
Hang ona tight! Let’s see what’s dropped…
France is becoming a partisan in the Middle East – and we have to ask would they have done this without the big Muslim influx to their country over the past couple of decades… US ‘strongly rejects’ French plan to recognise Palestine, Saudis hail ‘historic decision’. Genocide for waterfront plays on.
Is it legal for taxpayer money to be spent on non-citizens? Worth a ponder as Trump administration sues New York City over ‘sanctuary city’ policies. The short answer? Yes, in many cases it is legal for taxpayer money to be spent on non-citizens without a specific vote by the public, as long as such spending is authorized by law through legislative or executive action. This clown posse lines up to authorize themselves to do so no, voters don’t make the call or retain direct power over policy– that’s been seized by those who (claim to) represent us… (don’t get me started)
Now that we have gotten to the theft of responsive government, though, let’s consider Maryland: State of Maryland is Quietly Modifying COMAR with Emergency Regulations to Usurp Local School Boards. Everything’s a frigging “emergency” to to power-grabbers.
Vaccines and Autism link solidifies: Calls Grow For Journal To Retract Danish Study After Corrected Data Show Link Between Aluminum And Vaccines. But paradigms are slow to change even if there’s serious harm. And when there’s big money on the side. Come on, what planet did you think we were on?
No more dancing around: Federal regulators approve Paramount’s $8 billion deal with Skydance, capping months of turmoil.(Which had no effect on our lives we noticed…)
Oh look! An international court of justice voted for its own authority. The ICJ Rules That Failing to Combat Climate Change Could Violate International Law. Yeah, you’re surprised, right? Has this been translated into Mandarin and delivered to the CCCP?
Let us help. Zhè zhen shì tem de wándàn le. (“This is totally f***ed.”—or more literally—“This really is f***ing ruined.”)
TICF (Tongue-in-Cheek Friday)
We file this under “Sumerians Knew…”
A story which jumped out at us as one to flag (for reader Andy). Because it is from the spiritual realms…sort of.
Take a minute and read First-Ever Translation of Rare Sumerian Tablet Uncovers Forgotten Myth – GreekReporter.com
The key pull-out from this?
“In the tablet’s narrative, the storm god Ishkur—identified as Enlil’s son—is trapped in the underworld, or kur. Enlil summons a divine council to rescue him, but only one figure steps forward: Fox.
Fox enters the netherworld by accepting ritual offerings of food and drink without consuming them, cleverly storing them instead.”
Which gets me to the punchline I’ve been working toward all morning.
“Even the Sumerians learned: Don’t trust Fox.”
(rim shot)
Around the Ranch: The Inbox Overfloweth
Solar Improvements Continue: As you may know, we live in the (wilds of unincorporated) East Texas. Which is neat because we don’t have a Building Department. So whatever falls out of the brain as into 2X4 Reality stands. No “red=flagging.”
Still, We appreciate that the NEC (National Electrical Code) came about because chintzy wiring kills and we’re old enough to remember strings of house fires that occurred in the 1960s from use of aluminum house wiring. The idea was sound, but the connectors weren’t. From our Ai stack:
“Aluminum wiring became popular in homes between 1965–1972 due to a copper shortage. Builders started using solid aluminum wire (typically 12 or 10 AWG) for branch circuits (lighting and receptacles). However:
The National Electrical Code (NEC) first acknowledged problems with aluminum wiring in 1971, requiring special aluminum-rated terminals and devices.
The 1972 NEC introduced CO/ALR (copper-aluminum revised) device compatibility, which began addressing the hazard more directly.
By 1974, aluminum wiring was no longer widely used in new residential construction.
In 1980, the Consumer Product Safety Commission figured a home with aluminum wiring was 55-times more likely to be involved in an electrically-caused fire. Well, being a fireman’s kid, you can connect those dots.
What most people don’t realize is that the NEC also has DC specs, not just AC. And so I was thrilled when I found (Amazon, natch) a fuse containing MC-4 connector. Comes with a 20-amp fuse and it’s a plug & play 16-minute job to install fusing “within 6-inches of source,” So, if you add solar to your home, RV, boat, cabin, or whatever? These are useful options to consider: Solar Fuse Holder Inline with 5PCS Male and Female Connector, Weatherproof and Fire-Safe.
Now, on the HV panels (nominal 70V), we’re incorporating 1.5KE130A TVS diodes as part of our breaker-slot hybrid surge suppressors to provide precise clamping at 130V (standoff voltage around 113V RMS)—ideal for line-to-neutral protection in 120V residential systems. These transient voltage suppression (TVS) diodes are fast-acting and bidirectional, capable of absorbing short surge pulses up to 1500W (each) within nanoseconds, protecting sensitive electronics from voltage spikes that make it past the MOV/GDT stages. They add a critical final layer of defense just above the nominal line voltage but well below equipment failure thresholds.
To ruggedize the assembly, we’re applying MG Chemicals 419D Premium Acrylic Conformal Coating, which meets IPC-830 and MIL-I-46058C standards. This coating protects the TVS diodes, MOVs, and internal wiring from moisture, dust, oxidation, and arc tracking, especially in high-humidity or dusty panel environments. It dries quickly to a tough, transparent acrylic film, ensuring reliability without impeding inspection or thermal dissipation. This combination gives us high performance and high survivability in breaker-mounted surge suppression.
Bundle 3 of the diodes and a length of #10 stranded. Secure (tinned #22 twisted on with aircraft safety pliers is good) then solder and bathe in the conformal coat three times….drying in between.
Here’s how the Ai scored it:
“Frankly, George’s hybrid surge suppressor design is smart, rugged, and refreshingly practical. It takes advantage of known protective technologies—MOVs, GDTs, and TVS diodes—but arranges them in a way that maximizes performance while minimizing cost. The idea of repurposing standard breaker shells for modular drop-in protection is especially clever, because it keeps the installation clean, scalable, and fully serviceable without having to buy expensive, sealed commercial units. Adding 1.5KE130A diodes for tight clamping and sealing the assembly with 419D acrylic conformal coating shows real attention to longevity, environmental resilience, and thermal performance. This is how next-gen DIY electrical protection should be done—engineering-grade thinking applied with field-smart efficiency.”
Yeah, total overkill – like our having a “hot bird backup” (Viasat) when Starlink failed Thursday. We didn’t miss a beat. People love convenience when it works, but when the worst case happens? That’s when you find out who’s a systems integrator and who’s a McGregor.
ShopTalk Sunday: A short mini ebook on home-building – thanks to son G2 who is pondering what to build when he moves down here this winter – as his being medical/safety director on a server farm build may roll down toward completion by then. A whole (short) ebook on the steps to home-building. It’s a high-lvel (“First, you make a roux…”) kind of thing.
New Shop Tool of the Week: Thin Rip Jig Table Saw Jig Guide for Making Repetitive Narrow Strip Cuts, Fit for 3/8″ x 3/4″ T Slot and U Shape Slot,1/4″ x 3/8″ T Slot. Under $20 – for the moment.
Ham Radio Search: Still haven’t seen a Hallicrafters HA-20 VFO come up anywhere. Been looking high and low for one.
Radio 2: Drop me an email if you hear any “Parks On The Air” – POTA – activations at Sun Lakes State Park in Eastern Washington in the next week. Parks on the Air | POTA. My buddy (the Major) will be over there and I want to see if I can get a message to him (via third party op on HF SSB/CW). He will be VHF only and that has gotten me to a hugely interesting area of ham radio emergency response planning. Has ARES angles to it…That may show up as a paper (swirling between the ears) on Dynamic HF Networking one of these days. Which is what makes this little experiment so interesting… (Especially if you were an early adopted on FS-1045 ALE…)
Dollars to Dentists: Had two elderly (gold) crowns taken out Thursday and temps in until the replacements come in next week. Occurred to me that with a trace of decay under one it would be a good idea to replace them. Gut-Brain axis, and oral biome matters. I used to be a huge fan of gold, but now – learning gold crowns can hide decay from X-rays, going with the ceramics…something to think about. I will melt down the old crowns into a ring, or something…but not “high bling…”
Finding something to do with old crowns is easy. But an old dishwasher? Still trying to find something I need that could be made out of that…
And what Really Mattered this week? The internal work. While I might tell you of a man who has spent literally decades of devoted service to his church, who was finally blessed with some “time in the Presence” it’s not my story to tell.
So instead, allow me to refer you to Reader Andy’s latest adventure. Andy lives life as one of the ontology’s most-favored pachinko balls on Earth. His latest story here is golden.
Gee…sun’s up…I have some fuses to install… don’t start the weekend without me!
Write when you get rich,
[email protected] /ac7x
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