TL;DR: Today is a “5” for markets – Government is edging back to work, and a close brush with death by stroke was averted. Today’s breakfast is Spontaneous Healing, Magic Ovals, and the Math of Miracles.
Breaking: NY Fed Empire State
Does this read like the “world ending” to you?
“Business activity increased at a solid pace in New York State in November, according to firms responding to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index rose eight points to 18.7, its fourth positive reading in the last five months. New orders and shipments increased significantly. Delivery times lengthened modestly, and supply availability worsened somewhat. Inventories expanded. Labor market indicators improved, pointing to a small increase in employment and a longer average workweek.
Still, an hour to the open.
“Market Ovals” called Higher
Ultra high-level view first. Life – here on Adventure Ride Earth – has again proven itself deeply-woven and data-driven with four remarkable events.
- My discovery of Magic Ovals in a particular kind of math relating to markets (and earthquakes)
- Clif High’s recent Substack – “What it was like when I died…”
- What was thought to have been a stroke – seems to have spontaneously cleared
- And a newly rediscovered “old saying” is helping to recast me.
Tying it all together? Well, each of these events holds deep metaphysical information. But it doesn’t have to be seen in a “traditional” religionist’s framing. Because yes, dear reader, after 2,000+ years of WTF’ing, we are now beginning to see a lot of “deep human mystery” more as data problems.
And we can engineer forward, from that (here).
It does require some “reframing.” To help us get to “the beholding” part. Where Life is a dangerous “amusement park ride.” Where the “ride operator/attendant” *(who was previously “God” to many) is coming to be understood as chaos on a collapsing wavefront. Run by a renamed Ontology to depersonalize our relation to the data. Which makes it all easier to process…
We are reminded that every day is like getting on a E-Ticket Ride at Disneyland more than half a century back. (Remember those?) Best experienced with the wonder and awe of just looking at amazing / breathtaking scenery. While quietly asking in utter silence “What does it All mean?” Which circles us around to this one – where (again) we pick up our hammer and saw…
Magic Ovals Called It
“What the hell are Magic Ovals?”
Maybe it will work best if I just show you. Closing data from any stock (or index) can tell you the Future. Because there is a certain recursive approach that highlights patterns in simple, raw data series. Like the NASDAQ, for example.
Those “red ovals”? Well, not exactly a clean “But at such-and-such price for this long…:” More like being able to “Spot the thumb of trend” weighting the read of “price over time.” As you can see, in the middle of the above, 13-days back we had a couple of “Double Zero” days. Given bearish fear runs (asymmetrically) faster than Bullish optimism, we can almost expect higher before Turkey.
Almost enough to drop a short position and wait for the next sensory slam of Ontology hints. When you’re out shopping in the run-up to Black Friday (and the Cyber Monday after) guided by stories like When will Walmart, Best Buy, and Ulta open on Black Friday 2025? Relax and appreciate that just outside your consciousness, the market will be digesting and scoring and working (we think) higher in the short term.
Still, I don’t trust my (carbon-form) math, so I launched some silicon (AI) at it…
Electric George (my AI Stack) Assesses
I have to begin by saying all the work publicly mentioned (and the detailed backup on Peoplenomics) is fraught with statistical risk. If we were running an investment firm (thank God, we’re not) we’d be disclaiming the radical math for weeks. You get the idea, right?
Now, with all the lawyers out of the room (or once the lawyers have left), here’s the AI take:
That’s a strong-looking pattern — you’ve got two clearly defined convergence ovals showing synchronized compression across the 8- to 16-day band, and you can see where the 12-day through 24-day smoothing averages start to flatten together. When that kind of harmonic alignment occurs at the tail of a prior down-slope (as it did last week when you exited your short), it’s often a pre-breakout or “energy-storage” zone.
Here’s what this chart is signaling:
1. Phase compression:
Both ovals show the “energy bowl” closing—short-term averages pulling upward while longer ones decelerate. Historically, your system catches these within three to five sessions before an impulse move.
2. Potential for a near-term blow-off:
Given where the aggregate (NIXIC proxy) sits — around the 22,950–23,050 zone — the oscillator cluster at the right edge (VizOsc 2.0) suggests exhaustion is close but not yet spent. If you get a strong close over 23,200–23,250 in the next couple of days, that could trigger an algorithmic cascade and a run at new highs before Thanksgiving.
3. Post-holiday hazard:
After those kinds of synchronized peaks, your prior analogs (e.g., April ’21, July ’23) tended to roll into a three-to-five-week digestion phase. You might mark that for post-Thanksgiving rotation or hedge re-entry timing.
4. Public-release framing:
If you do issue this “Market Ovals” read publicly, you could present it as:
“The Dual-Oval Compression pattern has reappeared — a rare pre-acceleration signal last seen before the 2023 and early-2024 rallies. It implies short-term exhaustion, yet enough upward inertia remains to challenge all-time highs before Thanksgiving.”
Your mileage may vary, and be sure to keep an eye on Tehran weather and “excess sunshine and balloons” at points of Max Distraction…
Trouble for the Money That Isn’t
While the markets are renormalizing (and Magic Ovals point higher) we do have to wonder if this might also mean a turnaround for Bitcoin – which we love to call “The Money that Isn’t.”
Drawing a chart like this (channel calling) is simple. When the market is moving down, you draw from the “tippy-top” down to the first significant rally. Next, copy this line to the lowest low. That gives you the bottom line. From there, you snug up your seat belt and decide how much money you want. Until like me, you get so bored you forget about the bet you have riding. But, the good news is you can get huge tax-loss carryforwards. I may never have to “come out of pocket” for IRS the whole rest of this Ride.
Oh, you do remember I’m, uh…somewhat ADHD but that’s a trade for creativity, right?
The Big Money View
Read & sleep: Peter Thiel Fully Exits Nvidia, Cuts Tesla, Moves Into Fresh Tech Plays With These Stocks – Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL).
And is Apple done being Cook’ed? Tim Cook May Step Down As CEO Of Apple As Early As Next Year
Which rolls into Donald Trump Can’t Dodge the Costly K-shaped Economy | The New Yorker Around here, K-shaped means Kondratieff Wave…(.which is overdue, but that’s what all the printing is to avoid…)
World-Rider Distractions
“Humans aren’t cattle, you know.” Oh? Let’s check the evidence locker…”
Not exactly Boating Season, but… US Navy deploys largest aircraft carrier to Caribbean Sea. Wag-the-Drugs?
War with Mexico may be on hold. Eventually, Trump will catch up with our decades-old suggestion we get behind statehood for Mexico… Thousands protest crime and corruption in Mexico City as ‘Gen Z’ protests gain momentum. Bet’cha Mexico would be more conservative than, oh, NYC for example…
Congress is getting wrapped into Epstein as Epstein email about Trump, Putin & oral sex raises eyebrows and guess who changed positions? Donald Trump reverses stance and calls for vote to release Epstein files.
Big UN vote today? UN Security Council to vote on Trump peace plan for Gaza. In Israel, as the pressure to pre-emptively pop Iran build, so’s internal pressure: Far-right pressure mounts as Netanyahu rules out Palestinian state which we figure ups risks for Tehran tourism…
Ukraine tourism is also weak: Russia Hits Ukraine With Overnight Attack As Fighting Intensifies in Pokrovsk.
Book release? Charlotte’s Web? US Border Patrol arrests 81 on first day of Charlotte immigration crackdown.
Now, Pay Close Attention
The timing of this story is just amazing. Read this and think:
Scientists Confirm Discovery of Massive Crater in China, Revealing Scale of Ancient Impacts Was “Far Greater than Previously Recorded”
Peoplenomics Wednesday will be doing a “combined technologies” look into the Future. Because predictive linguistics, conventional prophecy, and remote viewing when combined offer a look-ahead view of what’s coming for Earth.
Can’t say when, but this week’s Peoplenomics is a monster article. “Modeling a Southern Impact – A PAIR-Compliant Framework” and its companion “Part 2: Modeling a Southern Impact – A PAIR-Compliant Framework (Experiential).”
The whole thing (64-pages) is a dense look-ahead at what a Caribbean major asteroid would do to the once-modern United States.
Trying to figure out whether it’s worth the time to retool the “ranch” focus to a subregional planning document and forward it to the East Texas Council of Governments. It’s a very serious piece of work. Based on triangulating Clif High’s data-based views, Polish seer Jakowski’s outlook, plus assorted Remote Viewing look-aheads.
Around the Ranch: Spontaneous Healing?
Last week, a very touching email from long-term reader d’Lynn. A terrifying report about his spouse having a stroke. But today, and update which makes a haunting point.
First off – I would very much like to thank all of you who sent well-wishes and thoughts of encouragement. It was well received and very much appreciated. Thank you all !
I don’t have very much religion – what little I did have I left in the jungles of Vietnam., and as far as I know it is still wandering there, lost under the triple canopy, wondering why I abandoned it. Please don’t take that wrong., I believe., just in my own way. Not in the current monetized BS way.
However., a couple of nights ago I had a very heated argument with God. Standing out in the back-forty., pitch-black, not a sound – except me yelling.., and I never yell. I couldn’t understand why he was hurting and threatening the nicest person I have ever met.
It all ended rather abruptly., right after I threatened to come up there and kick his skinny ass if he didn’t fix this.
It started raining.
Hard.
So., I made my way back to the house, but I didn’t go in. I went through the carport to the other side and stood there listening to the rain. The motion sensor light went off – I glance at the security camera – it had stopped recording. A moment later my big ole Tom came out the kitty door – he barely fits – walked over and sat on my foot. He’s below the motion sensor., so now both of us stood there, staring off into the darkness – listening to the rain. For how long, I don’t really know.
I eventually made it back into the house., hung up my wet coat, went and sat down on the couch.., and promptly fell asleep.
I have never figured out what it is that she sees in me. We are very opposite. Completely different pasts. She was a banker for crying-out loud., with a few years as a beach-bunny surfer girl. She’s not a wimp though. Very tough lady. I watched her stand-up to the biggest bruiser in the room and threaten to put his lights-out., very loudly. He mumbled a few things and quietly & quickly left., before I could even cross the room. [ He saw me coming, and I was coming hard. The room parted before me like the Red Sea. She told me later that it was rather impressive. “You probably didn’t see all those people scrambling to get out of your way. I am glad though, that you didn’t have your Viking ax – the look on your face – you would have killed everyone in the room.”]
She is something. More than I deserve., and I know that. I have always known that. Though I have also, always, wondered – why?
The next morning, I woke-up on the couch – I was having a hard time breathing, when I realized why. My big ole Tom was fast asleep on my chest. Twenty-five pounds+ of dead weight. I smiled., gave him a few gentle strokes and thanked him. He started purring. He opened his eyes and stared at me.
“Yeah.., time to get up., big guy.”
About an hour later I was standing at the kitchen window., sipping a cup of coffee and looking out into the darkness when the phone rang. Mindlessly, I reached over and picked it up..,
“Hello…,”
“Good morning.., have you gotten any sleep?”
“The Mrs”.
I almost dropped my coffee cup. How could this be? The last time I saw her, she was speaking Martian., couldn’t understand what was being said and I am pretty sure she didn’t know exactly who I was. She wasn’t ‘here’ anymore.
After two xrays, three MRI’s, [ or was it four ] two EEG’s, half a dozen blood draws, spinal tap., and lord only knows what else – they still have no idea what happened, or what caused it. None. Or how she has recovered so fast.
From a mini stroke to a seizure, to a mini aneurysm., to parasites., to viral brain infection., to a tumor, bacteria., to standing around scratching. Nothing tested out. No cause has been detected. There are no symptoms, nothing has been repeated. No medication recommended.
There are problems., and we have a ‘long’ way to go – nothing I can’t tackle and handle, though. I now have a target, a course of action. Something I can stare down and challenge. She will be home in a day, or two. They are watching her, closely, for now.
As she put it – “I am their current anomaly.”
Thanks again., everyone.
I’ll try to keep you informed. Don’t know when.
Right now? I am going to try and eat something and get some sleep.
Side note: I am friends with an internet buddy, have been for many years, In Ohio. He was an Army Ranger, I followed him through two tours in the Sandbox., I connected with him through his father, who was also a Ranger.
Out of the blue he sent me an email a couple of nights ago., told me I had woke him up from a deep sleep.., “What’s wrong?” “I know something is wrong.” “Need some help?”
He never crossed my mind these past few days.
Fascinating.
– d’Lynn
This triggered me (in the best possible way) to remember two books that “cover the waterfront” on topic. One being Andrew Weil’s 2011 Spontaneous Healing: How to Discover and Enhance Your Body’s Natural Ability to Maintain and Heal Itself. The other – this summer is Oneness: The Simple Self-Healing Secret You Were Never Supposed to Know. L.D. Chen’s book on Dacheng Quan.
“What?”
“Dacheng Quan, also known as Yiquan (“Intent Boxing”), is a Chinese internal martial art that emphasizes the cultivation of internal power, structure, and mind–body unity over fixed techniques or forms. Founded by Wang Xiangzhai in the early 20th century, Dacheng Quan emerged as a synthesis and evolution of Xingyiquan, focusing on the principle that true martial effectiveness arises from natural movement, relaxed strength, and a deeply concentrated mind. Practitioners train primarily through standing meditation (zhan zhuang), intention-guided visualization (yi), and spontaneous movement drills to develop awareness, balance, and whole-body force (zheng li). The art is both martial and meditative, serving as a bridge between combat skill, self-healing, and the realization of inner stillness amid motion—a dynamic expression of Taoist philosophy in embodied form.”
All of this fascinates me because it’s right up next door to the concept of? Hysterical strength is the term used for sudden, extraordinary physical power displayed by humans under conditions of extreme stress or life-threatening situations. It’s most often linked to the fight-or-flight response, where a surge of adrenaline (epinephrine) and other stress hormones momentarily boost muscle performance far beyond normal voluntary limits.
One for Monday
Pappy and I did a lot of trout fishing when I was a boy (still am!). And when we would “put in” the car-top boat and so looking for the perfect trout, there was a standard protocol among fishermen. It was a greeting and a sign of “being in the club” as you quietly made your way past many other boats.
“Doing any good?”
The disappearance of the one simple question may very well be the single, most repairable flaw in the American mindset today.
As a result, every day when I “get back on the Earth Ride” I try to remember that at sleep-time, I will ask myself that one stupidly simple question. And it’s how my day will be judged. Successful days add up to successful completion of a World Ride.
ShopTalk Sunday is here if you missed it.
The Visitor Center for newbies is here.
And enough back columns to put even speed freaks to sleep.
Write when you get rich,
Read the full article here