GSOL: Grand Scheme of Life

Been in the lab since the early and wee of today.  Been working on tracking back to source all the frequency derivations upon which early experimenters in “bioenergy physics” based their claims.

See, the thing the New Agers with woo-woo medicine types don’t think about (but it keeps me up nights) is when someone says “528 Hz” (or 528 CPS which was much more clear and self-explanatory) was cited, humans were very limited in their ability to get highly precise frequency data.

In other words, there were no frequency counters until he US got deep into radar development where small slivers of time were part of the “secret sauce.”  Even more interesting is when you take some of the woo-woo and try to reconstruct claims in the lab.

But enough of my preposterous notions, playful paper time here, but it won’t begin today until after the Housing Starts data drops – which will mean (yes!) a second post this morning.

We had a fine rally Monday and at the close, the Ebbinghaus-Ure model was screaming higher, but the real test will come at 200, 100, 85, 50, and 42 day moving averages.  Then we’ll find out what kind of speed this market’s on.

If you’ve forgotten what this model is>?  Let me explain it.

In the lower right, you will see a blue line that took off like a rocket ship.  Now, each of the lines it was crossing is a “moving average.”  All based on the (unusually clear-thinking) notion that the 2-day moving average will turn in market moves before, oh, the 200-day moving average. (Though this chart only samples (semi-log with wine) 42-days, but a trifle, that.)

Point is, we could turn down here, having met some bare minimums for a bounce.  BUT the odds are against it.  We typically could expect a 50 percent climb back toward the recent top, or better, a 61 percent Fibonacci kind of move. Though in theory, even a 100 percent retracement is possible.  Point is, the more “moving averages that have been in decline” (reverse and go higher) then the more power the move might be inferred.

NOT saying it WILL be.  But when we roll through headlines, we kinda/sorta/figure WW III will be a “Buy the rumor, sell the news” event (might be fewer buyers after, right?)  So given three carriers going east, some time to practice air ops, how long before Israel pops Iran?

See how we’ve set the mood for a tromp through the headlines? With an eye to Future and a 3-week time horizon? Why, it all reminds me to buy some prime ribs when they come in for Easter, because when the world blows, no telling if there will be a personal Last Supper involved, or not…

Calendar and Headlines

We expect minimally, someone will get fired over Trump officials text Yemen attack plans to group chat that included a journalist.  What’s interesting, though, is we would not put this past a leftover Trump-hater still embedded in Deep State ops. Pretty sure that if it is, all the tracks will be covered, phones swapped out and SIM silliness will obscure.  So whoever this comes down on could easily be a patsy.

Curious word, that:  In one sense, the term “patsy” was widely used in vaudeville routines to describe a gullible or easily tricked character—essentially the butt of the joke. It became shorthand for a person who would fall for a prank or be manipulated by others.  But in another it was a Melting Pot phrase: “patsy” may have come from the Italian first name Patsy (a diminutive of Pasquale or Patrick). Immigrants with that name were sometimes stereotyped in early 20th-century American pop culture as being naïve or easily fooled. Over time, Patsy became a generic term for a dupe.”

God knows, D.C. is full of Fools and patsy’s, huh?  And speaking of the former, here’s the Loudmouth as Top US Officials Weigh in on Security Leak to the Atlantic.  Pretty charitable of ’em, if you ask me: Calling the Schemer a top US official.

Just in time for war? Senate Confirms John Phelan as Secretary of the Navy.

We don’t think the Ukraine war will be settled anytime soon.  Despite headlines that challenge mental clarity: Ukraine set to meet US negotiators for Black Sea truce talks.  The correct word choice would have been US mediators because we have no power to negotiate for anyone…we’re just trying to figure out who’s got what kind of attitudes that can be worked with.  Call it about 64.5 percent confidence the Ukraine war will still be going at Easter.

The further reason for pessimism? Amid tense talks in Saudi Arabia, Russia demands U.S. cede four regions of Ukraine. Spoiler alert:  Russia wants Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson region and Ukraine’s not likely to budge.  So into the ditch this continues; shades of WW I trench warfare – which when you think about it is a kind of odd riff (musical coherency) of history.

Crap Filter

Remember the old ad saying from the Younger Dryas? “Take the bus and leave the driving to us?”  Well, thanks to DEI that’s sounding like good advice: DEI has so completely undermined safety standards that pilots are sometimes afraid to leave the cockpit for fear of what their co-pilots will do unattended.

An Obama appointed judge is still pushing stupidity from the bench: NEW: Boasberg Rejects Trump Request to Vacate TRO in Alien Enemies Act Case – Says Criminal Aliens Are Entitled to Individual Hearings.  Why, next thing you know, they’ll be selling illegal aliens as a protected class and want to hire dem lawyers for all of ’em.  You just get the bill.  (Hmm…I did mention Fools and Patsy’s didn’t I?)  Say, maybe I should get some “Protect the Gangster Migrants” stickers printed up….

Big shake-up plans are rumored at the Post Office: USPS chief Louis DeJoy stepping down immediately but it may not stop there. Word is a major reorg will follow.

From My Digital Assistant:

“As of March 25, 2025, here are three significant yet underreported news stories:

1. Underreported Bird Flu Crisis

The ongoing avian influenza outbreak has severely impacted poultry farms globally, leading to significant economic losses and rising egg prices. In the UK, egg prices have surged by up to 20%. In the U.S., over 22 million birds have been affected in the past month alone. Beyond poultry, the virus has also infected other wildlife and several humans in North America, resulting in at least one death. Despite these developments, media coverage remains limited.

2. Rising Domestic Violence Cases Likely Underreported

A recent report by the Council on Criminal Justice indicates that domestic violence incidents are increasing in Denver, with approximately 1,600 cases going unreported since 2015. The underreporting rate in Denver is slightly above the average among the 20 cities examined. This trend reflects a broader global surge in domestic violence cases, particularly during the pandemic. Despite the severity, these incidents often receive minimal media attention.  (Human notes men are also victims in this arena…)

3. Media’s Underreporting of President Biden’s Cognitive Decline

Veteran CBS News reporter Jan Crawford has criticized news organizations for insufficiently covering President Biden’s cognitive decline throughout 2024. She highlighted that more comprehensive reporting might have altered the election outcome. This issue gained prominence following Biden’s poorly received debate performance against Donald Trump in the summer, yet mainstream media coverage remained limited.

With that, off for a walk of the garbage out to the road and a spot of tea before we get those Housing numbers.  Market position argues for only limited weakness for now, but let’s see what the real dope is when popped.

Write when you get rich,

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